Shopping cart theft has stopped being a back-of-house annoyance and turned into a regulated, fined, and revenue-eroding business risk. Here's what the data actually says.
25–37%
Fleet loss = sales tipping point
Above this range, you run out of carts at peak and lose transactions outright. STG fleet data, 2025.
2.5 mi
Average distance a stolen cart travels
Max observed in STG tracking data: 7.5 miles. They don't just wander to the parking lot.
$50–$500
Per-cart fine retailers now face
Phoenix charges up to $50/cart in retrieval fees. Hawaii HB1636 proposes a $500/cart municipal buy-back.
58+
California municipalities with cart ordinances
Typical 3-day retrieval window. Miss it and you pay. San José Code 9.60 applies at just 26 carts.
$200–$300
Cost to replace a single cart
Replace your entire fleet once a year and the math gets ugly fast. Most high-loss stores do.
20+ yrs
Locking wheels have been on the market
And cart theft has gotten worse, not better. See below.